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US Elections | Trump establishes unprecedented lead over rivals in Iowa

Updated on Monday, December 11, 2023 22:24 PM IST

WASHINGTON: With just five weeks to go for the Iowa caucus, former US president Donald Trump has established an unprecedented lead over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley with New Hampshire to follow in the nations most watched polls of the state.

Trump holds an unprecedented lead in Iowa with an overwhelming 32-point lead (51-19) over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has the backing of the state governor.

According to the Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom Iowa Poll, DeSantis, the once best positioned rival to Trump, is struggling for the number two position where former UN ambassador Nikki Haley is within striking distance with three points, technically making that race too close to call. The poll's margin of error's 4.4 percentage points.

Trump's lead is quite significant considering that much of Iowa's Republican political establishment is behind DeSantis, including Gov. Kim Reynolds.

According to the Register, Trump's lead is the largest at this point in the race for a competitive GOP caucus.

"The field may have shrunk, but it may have made Donald Trump even stronger than he was," pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the Iowa Poll, told The Des Moines Register.

"I would call his lead commander at this point. There's not much benefit of fewer candidates for either Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley."

Selzer is regarded as the "gold standard" of Iowa pollsters with her ability to closely predict the mood of the caucuses, which is difficult given the factors at play in the state, especially the potential number of first-time caucus goers, media reports said.

According to the poll, Trump's lead is so massive that he's ahead in every single demographic surveyed, the Business Insider reported.

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